{"id":12330,"date":"2025-03-11T16:40:07","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T13:40:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/good-finance.pro\/teoriya-ryinochnyih-tsiklov"},"modified":"2025-10-09T13:31:22","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T10:31:22","slug":"teoriya-ryinochnyih-tsiklov","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/good-finance.pro\/en\/teoriya-ryinochnyih-tsiklov","title":{"rendered":"The theory of market cycles in Forex \u2013 why should a trader study it?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The patterns that can be traced on the chart from time to time are related to the theory of market cycles in Forex. This method of studying the market will allow you to make a profit and predict further fluctuations. <\/p>\n

How do cycles work in trading? Displacement and Formation Factors <\/h2>\n

The cyclical pattern is known to people in everyday life, but you should not expect that the theory of real cycles in the market will work every time a particular pattern is formed on the chart. The fact is that patterns can shift \u2013 here investors use such a concept as cycle mixing. <\/p>\n

Biases play an important role in cycle theory, as their direction changes depending on the current market trend. The price growth is always slower than its fall, and, based on this pattern, the shift will take place more often to the right. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Determination of cycle offset and application in practice<\/h3>\n

There is an unspoken rule in the formation of market cycles in Forex \u2013 cycles will shift towards the trend that prevails over a long time period. To determine this bias, the trader needs to use a histogram that can be plotted independently. The main role is played by the direction of displacement, and in combination with the above factors of cycle formation, it will not be difficult to do such an operation. <\/p>\n

A trader needs to conditionally build “windows” based on the available data on Forex cycles. They give a general idea of the period of time at which a trend change should be expected. Thus, the theory of cycles should not be applied to receive signals, but to filter the available data from other indicators. <\/p>\n

\"How<\/h2>\n

Classification of regularities in the theory of cyclicity<\/h2>\n

The theory of business cycles involves working with several recurring periods that differ in parameters such as seasons, time intervals, and other factors.
\nThe theory of cyclicity identifies five main cycles that are considered by players in trading:<\/p>\n